Conf = NESCAC ------ State = A
Mascot = Mammoths ------ Coach = Sean WoodsGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 94.7119598 home-field advantage = -0.53 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 301 H Middlebury NESCAC ( 9- 9, 94.1) 16- 7 308 A Hamilton NESCAC ( 7- 8, 92.6) 9- 8 311 H Springfield NEWMAC (10- 7, 90.0) 11- 5 315 A Colby NESCAC ( 3-10, 88.9) 14- 8 320 N Denison NCAC (13- 7, 91.6) 13- 7 323 H Bowdoin NESCAC (16- 4, 97.5) 12- 8 329 H Roanoke ODAC (13- 6, 89.7) 17- 9 402 H Wesleyan NESCAC (13- 6, 96.2) 7- 8 405 A Williams NESCAC ( 7- 9, 92.8) 6- 9 409 H Conn Col NESCAC ( 7- 8, 91.2) 13- 9 412 A Bates NESCAC ( 9- 7, 92.5) 8- 7 416 A RPI Liberty Leagu (15- 4, 95.6) 5-15 419 H Tufts NESCAC (22- 0, 99.9) 5-14 423 A Trinity NESCAC ( 9- 8, 92.7) 16-10 426 H Middlebury NESCAC ( 9- 9, 94.1) 8-10 510 N Endicott CNE (13- 4, 91.9) 12-11 511 A Bowdoin NESCAC (16- 4, 97.5) 5-16
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 H Middlebury 16- 7 9 1 ++ 5.88 308 A Hamilton 9- 8 1 1 -0.59 311 H Springfield 11- 5 6 5 0.79 315 A Colby 14- 8 6 5 0.71 320 N Denison 13- 7 6 3 + 2.88 323 H Bowdoin 12- 8 4 -2 +++ 6.28 329 H Roanoke 17- 9 8 5 1.45 402 H Wesleyan 7- 8 -1 0 -0.09 405 A Williams 6- 9 -3 1 -- -4.42 409 H Conn Col 13- 9 4 4 -0.08 412 A Bates 8- 7 1 1 -0.74 416 A RPI 5-15 -10 -1 -- -5.64 419 H Tufts 5-14 -9 -4 - -2.36 423 A Trinity 16-10 6 1 ++ 4.53 426 H Middlebury 8-10 -2 1 - -3.12 510 N Endicott 12-11 1 2 -1.82 511 A Bowdoin 5-16 -11 -3 - -3.65UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 405 A Williams 6- 9 -3 1 -- -4.42 416 A RPI 5-15 -10 -1 -- -5.64 419 H Tufts 5-14 -9 -4 - -2.36 426 H Middlebury 8-10 -2 1 - -3.12 511 A Bowdoin 5-16 -11 -3 - -3.65OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 323 H Bowdoin 12- 8 4 -2 +++ 6.28 301 H Middlebury 16- 7 9 1 ++ 5.88 423 A Trinity 16-10 6 1 ++ 4.53 320 N Denison 13- 7 6 3 + 2.88
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 94.72 Power Rank................. 8 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 84.61 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 4 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6643 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 33 RPI Rating............... .6311 RPI Rank................... 20 Champ. Probability ...... 1.4 Championship Rank ......... 8 Selection sum ........... 81 Selection Rank ............ 21 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 50. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 13 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -15. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 28 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 9.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 1.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -4.0