Conf = NESCAC ------ State = A
Mascot = Mammoths ------ Coach = Sean WoodsGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 95.8214569 home-field advantage = -0.32 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 301 H Middlebury NESCAC ( 9- 7, 95.0) 16- 7 308 A Hamilton NESCAC ( 7- 8, 93.2) 9- 8 311 H Springfield NEWMAC ( 9- 6, 90.8) 11- 5 315 A Colby NESCAC ( 3-10, 89.7) 14- 8 320 N Denison NCAC (12- 5, 92.4) 13- 7 323 H Bowdoin NESCAC (13- 2, 98.2) 12- 8 329 H Roanoke ODAC (12- 5, 90.4) 17- 9 402 H Wesleyan NESCAC (11- 4, 97.3) 7- 8 405 A Williams NESCAC ( 7- 9, 93.5) 6- 9 409 H Conn Col NESCAC ( 7- 8, 91.9) 13- 9 412 A Bates NESCAC ( 9- 7, 93.3) 8- 7 416 A RPI Liberty Leagu (14- 2, 96.2) 5-15 419 H Tufts NESCAC (16- 0, 99.9) 5-14 423 A Trinity NESCAC ( 8- 7, 93.4) 16-10 426 H Middlebury NESCAC ( 9- 7, 95.0) 8-10
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 H Middlebury 16- 7 9 1 ++ 5.81 308 A Hamilton 9- 8 1 2 -1.27 311 H Springfield 11- 5 6 5 0.59 315 A Colby 14- 8 6 5 0.21 320 N Denison 13- 7 6 3 + 2.61 323 H Bowdoin 12- 8 4 -1 ++ 6.00 329 H Roanoke 17- 9 8 5 1.24 402 H Wesleyan 7- 8 -1 -1 0.18 405 A Williams 6- 9 -3 1 -- -4.99 409 H Conn Col 13- 9 4 4 -0.24 412 A Bates 8- 7 1 2 -1.26 416 A RPI 5-15 -10 0 --- -6.27 419 H Tufts 5-14 -9 -3 - -3.26 423 A Trinity 16-10 6 2 + 3.84 426 H Middlebury 8-10 -2 1 - -3.19UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 416 A RPI 5-15 -10 0 --- -6.27 405 A Williams 6- 9 -3 1 -- -4.99 419 H Tufts 5-14 -9 -3 - -3.26 426 H Middlebury 8-10 -2 1 - -3.19OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 301 H Middlebury 16- 7 9 1 ++ 5.81 323 H Bowdoin 12- 8 4 -1 ++ 6.00 320 N Denison 13- 7 6 3 + 2.61 423 A Trinity 16-10 6 2 + 3.84
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 95.83 Power Rank................. 8 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 85.84 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 4 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6878 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 18 RPI Rating............... .6413 RPI Rank................... 18 Champ. Probability ...... 2.5 Championship Rank ......... 6 Selection sum ........... 59 Selection Rank ............ 18 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 55. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 9 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 0. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 23 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 10.7 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 8.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 1.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.7